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83 min Lamine crosses, Merino flicks on, and at the back post it’s Cucurella … but his downward header is straight at Vozinha, who collects.

81 min Another change for Spain, Olmo – who I’d have set on sooner – replacing Ferran.

79 min And Arcanjo is immediately into the action, heading clear when Oyarzabal slings in the kind of cross he’s there to convert. So off Spain go again, but again, when the ball comes in, there aren’t enough players looking to break the last line, and Borges clears. This getting seriously tense now – it’s all very well defending with composure at the start of the game, but the moment of the Cape Verde lads’ careers is now in the balance. That can have a profound effect on their ability to think clearly – I won’t lie, it’s affecting mine.

77 min Words I never thought I’d write: Spain need to do more tiki-taka. The quick one and two-touch sequences, when we’ve seen them, have been far too slow and, as I type, Borges flings his body in front of a Pedri shot from the edge. I can’t believe how bad De la Fuente’s men have been – they’ve lacked width, wit, tempo ad intensity. But Lamine has just won them a corner, before which Arcanjo replaces Monteiro.

76 min Sidny Cabral, on a yellow and now marking Lamine, is sensibly withdrawn; Joao Paulo replaces him.

75 min “I feel like I’m watching Groundhog Day,” emails Charles Pearson. “Spain have ball, Spain attack, Cape Verde defend well, Spain’s attack comes to nothing. Repeat. Repeat. Repeat. When will the existential epiphany come that breaks the loop?”

Well we’re close to the all-is-lost moment at the end of Act II…

73 min A buzz flows around the ground the second Lamine gets the ball; he does nothing with his first go of it, but then he beats his man on the outside, cutting back for Llorente, who squares for Merino, near the penalty spot … who scuffs his shot, Vozinha fielding easily enough.

72 min The Lamine change is, of course, the obvious one, but Merino makes sense too - he’s excellent in the air and a great target for the dinked crosses we’ve been seeing.

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71 min On come Lamine and Merino, for Gavi and Fabian Ruiz.

68 min There are tough acts to follow, and then there’s replacing Oliver Glasner at Crystal Palace.

69 min Vozinha stays down, then it’s time for a hydration break … after which I think we’ll see Lamine Yamal.

67 min I never thought I’d criticise a Spain team, never mind one run by Rodri and Pedri, of a lack of game intelligence. But that’s exactly what we’re seeing – the quick interchanges that pick defences apart have been almost totally absent … and, as I type, Vozinha comes to collect another cross.

66 min There’s still a lack of urgency and tempo in Spain’s passing. I’m not sure what they were told at half-time, but I doubt it was “more of the same please lads” – yet that’s pretty much what we’re seeing.

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64 min Spain remember what works, another diag from just outside the box picking out Cucurella. But Moreira blocks his cross, and this is such a good defensive effort. Usually in a game such as this one, you’d expect a smorgasbord of last-ditch blocks and penalty-area pinball, but what stands out here is Cape Verde’s discipline and composure. They’re denying space brilliantly, refusing to dive into tackles. and crowding second balls.

62 min The corner comes to nowt.

61 min Changes for Cape Verde: off go Jovane Cabral, Laros Duarte and Livramento; on come Deroy Duarte, brother of, along with Da Costa and Willy Semedo.

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60 min Cape Verde make a rare attack and, when Jovan Cabral misses his kick, Spain counter with Ferran, But Borges does a really good job of shackling him, at cost of a corner.

59 min I’d not be at all surprised if the Cape Verde players are telling themselves and each other to hold out until the hydration break. Meantime, Ferran goes down the right stands up a cross for no one, and Vozinha flies out to claim.

58 min Spain are starting to feel the pressure, Laporte flinging himself into a Kompany v Leicester-style shot, thrashing over the bar from way out.

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56 min Pedri looks likeliest to make something happen and he glides a ball into the middle, measured to meet the run of Fabian Ruiz … who heads straight at Vozinha.

55 min Spain seem to have forgotten what was working for them before the break – those clipped passes out wide seem to have vanished. I don’t think it’ll be long before De la Fuente makes a change or two.

53 min “With Amorim,” begins Nelson Calvinho, “let’s conveniently forget some of United’s best recruited players in some time happened during his watch, that he gave a new lease of life to players who didn’t count (Casemiro. Maguire), that he elevated the standards inside and outside the pitch for the benefit of whoever came next, that he was already fighting for champions League spots when he left, that the results started to go south this season when he lost some key players to injury and Afcon, and that results with Carrick (who’s done a terrific job) immediately and coincidentally improved when said players returned and Carrick took the job...

I remember the media saying Pep’s football could not work in the Premier League after his first, trophyless, season. Pundits can only state what happened yesterday or is happening now, but rarely can see much further (another case in point, Brentford’s relegation being given as a fact even before Keith Andrews’ first session as a head coach). As fickle as fan’s impressions and often personal.

Vamos Tubarões Azuis!”

I agree with a lot of this – the football was mainly dreadful, results were worse, and his exclusion of Kobbie Mainoo a complete nonsense. But if United get good from here, he’ll be the one who started the process – and I agree that, had there been no Afcon, at the same time Bruno Fernandes got injured, he might still be in the job … but I also think him extremely fortunate to have held it for as long as he did, and the work Michael Carrick has done should be a source of major embarrassment.

51 min Pedri and Oyarzabal gang up on Duarte in midfield, winning the ball, which then moves wider to Fabian Ruiz, at inside-right. He dips back inside, shoots … over the top.

48 min Co-commentating on English telly, Lee Dixon says Atlanta Stadium might be the best he’s ever been in, and I can see that aesthetically, it’s impressive. However the lack of pitch-level seating means that it’s not in the conversation as far as my standards go – one reason you go to a game is to feel part of it, and once you’re above it, that’s diluted.

48 min Again, it’s Pedri looking to game-break, standing up Sidny Cabral then shifting the ball by him to get a yard, standing up a cross for Oyarzabal … whose header hits a defender, allowing Cape Verde to clear.

47 min “Not feeling quite so bad now about Scotland’s inability to put Haiti to the sword,” confesses Simon McMahon. “As Steve Clarke said, a win’s a win. Though I fear you’re right about goal difference being key for the third-place teams. A single goal defeat against Morocco and Brazil and we’ll probably be ok, anything else and it’s gonna be touch and go. But a win against Morocco on Friday means that a point in our final group game against Brazil will be enough to top the group. I’m all over the place already, can you tell? Football, eh...”

What people sometimes neglect to grasp is that almost any professional team defending deep and in numbers are difficult to break down. My reservations about Scotland are that they lost the xG, possession and shots, I think – it wasn’t an onslaught.

46 min We go again…

Back come our teams. Can Cape Verde keep focused as legs and minds tire?

“I think there’s a useful comparison to be made between Curaçao and Cape Verde,” writes John Ashdown. “That has to do with the philosophies of the Netherlands and Portugal, in whose leagues so many of them play.

Like an Eredivisie team, Curaçao are throw caution to the wind, full speed ahead, tactically inflexible, ‘let’s win this 5-4’. Like a Primeira Liga team, Cape Verde are all about soaking pressure, pragmatism and flexibility.

As you pointed out earlier, both approaches are valid: Curaçao did score a goal, Cape Verde have held the European champions scoreless for a half.

And can we have a shout for my guy Vozinha, 40 years young, plays for Desportivo de Chaves in Portugal’s second division, man of the match so far?”

Vozinha has been great, so too his teammates. I wonder, though, if they’ll want to commit more players forward in the second half, as it’ll get the ball down the other end and, numerous though Spain virtues are, pace on the counter isn’t one of them.

Half-time email: “As Scotland proved the other night,” says Justin Kavanagh, “Spain are finding out that you can only struggle against the teams put in front of you!”

This is only half of the Scotland way; the next bit is when they play superbly against quality opposition and go out of the competition anyway.

Ienjoyed the hell out of that: Cape Verde have given us a lesson in how to defend the box. There’s a long, long way to go, but we could be experiencing one of the great World Cup rearguards. This might just mature into one of those classic matches we’re still talking about decades from now.

HALF-TIME: Spain 0-0 Cape Verde

A near-perfect first half for Cape Verde, who’ve defended with discipline and confidence while, in their goal, Vozinha has been excellent. And the break has probably come at a good time, because Spain were getting around the sides of them – something the now have the chance to address.

45+4 min Spain have some momentum now, Llorente moving down the right and standing up a cross for Oyarzabal. But a defender gets either side of him, allowing Vozinha the rare pleasure of waving his teammates away as the ball bobbles wide.

45+2 min I wonder if Spain have happened upon a solution to their creation issue. This time, it’s Fabian Ruiz with the lofted ball from centre to wing, the outcome a corner down the other flank. And when it comes in, Laporte is up glancing towards the far bottom-corner … but again, Vozinha is there, plunging to his right and, with the tips of his fingertips.tipping away.

45+1 min We’ll have four additional minutes.

45 min Again, Cucurella is the outlet for Spain, but this time pulling wide, punching a pass from Pedri first-time into the box. At the near post, Gavi slides in but misses his connection, the Ferran shoots low but, under pressure from Lopes, he can’t guide it far enough away from Vozinha, who dives to save.

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42 min “I think it’s not entirely helpful to compare the Blue Sharks to the Blue Wave,” advises Kári Tulinius. “Unlike their fellow islanders from Curaçao, the Cape Verdeans have lots of experience of high-level football. They’ve made the knockouts in multiple Afcons, and are used to the pressure of facing superstar players. While I think Spain would comfortably win nine in a series of 10 matches, in a one-off Cape Verde can get a result. They probably won’t, but it’s not unthinkable.”

Yes, I think that’s fair – though Curacao have players with decent domestic-level experience too.

40 min Cabral leads a counter, finding Mendes who finds Duarte, but it’s the wrong pass and momentum leaks from the attack; Spain, who’ve funnelled back well, crowd him out.

39 min Again, Cucurella runs in behind – Spain are finding the outlet now – and Rodri clips a gorgeous cross-kick that finds him. He should probably go for goal but, determining the angle to narrow or opting to make sure, he heads back for Ferran, who must score … except he annihilates against the bar then, when the rebound picks out Oyarzabal, his looping header forces Vozinha to tp over the top! That’s more like it from Spain, but the Cape Verde keeper look in the mood.

38 min A foul from Llorente gives Cape Verde a chance to put a free-kick into the box, but they go short, then Jovane Cabral cuts infield off the left, shoots … way over the bar.

37 min Pedri spreads to Cucurella, who volleys into the box. And though Borges does a good job of heading clear, the ball lands on Pedri’s laces, and introduces them to leather, the connection lovely … forcing Vozinha to tip over. The flag then goes up – Cucurella was offside – but that was a decent effort and save.

35 min Livramento mugs Rodri in the centre-circle, pouncing on a loose touch before swivelling and trying a shot with the keeper way out of his goal. He doesn’t get hold of it properly, but it was the right decision to take it on.

34 min What I’m finding odd about this game is that Spain will have known how Cape Verde were going to play, yet look like it’s come as a total shock. There’s no tempo or snap to their passing and movement about the box, nor are they overloading it with men; I’m not really sure what kind of goal they’re trying to score.

33 min “Even Americans, who are used to constant stops for ads during sports have been consistently very annoyed at the forced water breaks and accompanying ad break,” advises Zach Neeley. “Just one more way to take an opportunity that only comes around once a generation at most and turn it into embarrassment.”

31 min I wonder whether, if it stays goalless, we’ll see Lamine. Meantime, Ferran picks up possession just outside the box, and feathers a delicate pass into the path of Oyarzabal, outside him. But the first touch is poor, allowing Sidny Cabral to slide in with a precise – and dangerous, given he’s already been booked – challenge.

29 min Pedri spreads to Cucurella, left side of the box, who punches first-time towards Gavi, deeper inside it. But Moreira blocks, the ball bounces up, and this time, the Real Madrid man takes the law into his own hands, leathering a shot just over the bar.

28 min If we were being unkind, we’d chortle that losing 5-1 to Graham Potter makes anyone’s position untenable.

27 min We’re away again, Ryan Mendes nailing Gavi with the chapeau trick so beloved by Patrick Vieira, lifting the ball over his head before unloading a shot directly into Cucurella’s midriff.

25 min Cape Verde could probably have done without that break, while Spain will be pleased for it. I guess it means goalies have less need to feign injury, but I’m reaching; it’s a nonsense and, I fear, one that’s here to stay. Sadly, the various suits prefer advertising income to sporting integrity.

23 min It’s time for the hydration break; the match is being played in an indoor, climate-controlled environment.

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22 min Cape Verde move the ball through midfield, finding Jovane Cabral out wide. But when he might attack his man or sling over a cross, instead he goes backwards, and Spain quickly regain possession. That was a decent situation, ruined by a poor decision.

20 min Spain probe again, then Cubarsi loses patience, dragging a miserable effort wide from 20 yards. So far, it’s been a relaxing jaunt for Vozinha in the Cape Verde goal.

18 min I said below that if Spain can keep Cape Verde out for a while, we might get a thriller, but actually the already have. Spain won’t be nervous yet, but they’ve not got close to making a proper chance, lacking the speed out wide and general genius Lamine brings.

17 min Llorente barges by Sidny Cabral, who hauls him back and is booked.

16 min Monteiro gives the ball away and Pedri shoots, dribbling a tame effort straight at Vozinha.

14 min “Cape Verde are parking the bus and that will make the fixture boring,” reckons Mary Waltz. “The odds of CV making the knock out round are slim but the one chance is to keep the goal differential low. Curacao were praised by some for being brave playing a more open style but the seven goals conceded to one scored and that argument.”

I don’t fully agree with that – if Cape Verde can keep Spain out for a while, the attack v defence format will, I promise, be a total buzz, and they become more desperate and the underdogs more confident. I also think that Curacao’s goal is already and eternal moment, making it 1-1 worth losing 7-1 not, say, 3-0. I do agree, though, that a variety of teams will win one game, and what’ll separate those who go through form those who don’t will be goal difference – already the most likely source of Scotland heartbreak.

12 min And there’s that cross for Oyarzabal we talked about, Pedri scything in a terrific delivery … only for Pico Lopes of Shamrock Rovers to stretch the entirety of his corporeal form into a brilliant clearing header, his flick taking the ball away.

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11 min Spain win a corner and, when Cape Verde get it away, Monteiro is in space ith Mendes making a run for him … that he can’t find.

10 min This has been a really good start from Cape Verde – Spain haven’t come close to creating anything. And, as I type, Sydney Cabral sticks the ball in behind Llorente, who bodychecks him … but the ref sees nothing untoward.

8 min On that point, though, and like Germany yesterday, they do leave that space as a matter of course. If Cape Verde look to hit it every time, so their passers know to play it and runners know to set off for it, they might just make something happen.

7 min Cape Verde move the ball about the defence, then move forward for the first time and Moreira turns a pass around the corner … and there’s space in behind. But Jovane Cabral can’t find it, so Spain move forward again.

5 min Yup, this is attack against defence, Cape Verde sitting in a 4-4-2 until the ball moves through midfield, whereupon another man or two join the back line. I think it’s Jovane Cabral, the right-winger, making up the extra man.

3 min Without Lamine and Williams, Spain lack the natural width you’d want to get around the sides of the Cape Verde defence. They try to get down the right, Llorente keeping the width, but his pass infield is cut out.

1 min Immediately, Spain are into passing rhythm while Cape Verde, perhaps learning from Curacao yesterday, are playing with a back five.

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1 min Away we go!

Thus do Madrid have a player in the Spain squad.

“I wonder what Amorim would have to say on the topic,” says Agnello Figueiredo. “No journalist, no English one anyway, has reported on his views after he left United. It is often surprising to hear the unheard point of view. Would be interesting to. Obviously, people in the business still think he’s worthwhile.”

Silence may be part of his severance package, but I actually think we heard exactly what he thinks while he was in the job. other hand, I’m fascinated to know what he thinks having seen what happened at Old Trafford once he left. And yes, I don’t think he was all bad – if nothing else, good players arrived and less good ones departed on his watch – but the football and results he delivered were (even) worse than I thought possible with the squad he had.

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Anthem time. I like Spain’s, I must say, and the absence of lyrics means there’s nothing in it to make a person uncomfortable.

Our teams are tunnelled … and Spain are wearing a wet leather-effect tracky top. I like the red-yellow-red of the three stripes, but the sweatsuit effect is making me feel uncomfortably hot. Here they come!

What a pleasant surprise Sweden were last evening. I really like Yasin Ayari, but I was still surprised to see him score two blinders, as I was to see the team bag five. But with Alexander Isak fit and fresh, they’ve a puncher’s chance against anyone, a back five makes them hard to penetrate, and they’ll now be playing with confidence and belief.

So, where is the game? Well, we know what Spain will do – they’ll keep the ball, progress it through the middle, then look to penetrate and combine. But they’ll also look in behind and go wide for crosses, a newish wrinkle – look out for Oyarzabal at the near post.

But how can Cape Verde get at them? They might target Aymeric Laporte with Ryan Mendes and Livramento darting in behind – he lacks a bit of pace, especially on the turn and over the first yard or two. And they may also fancy themselves to get at Marcos Llorente, as much midfielder as full-back … but whether they can manage good enough possession in that area remains to be seen.

I wonder if he’s learnt anything from his experience at United where, as the first manager in the modern era to be working for a board whose chief priority was to win, he sacrificed everything for a system whose principles didn’t work in the Premier League.

“I report to you from the Fan Zone outside the stadium here in Atlanta,” says legendary correspondent Mac Millings, “queueing for overpriced FIifaapproved merch, and I can tell you that the Cabo Verde fans are ENJOYING THEMSELVES. They paraded along the street to the stadium, chanting and singing all the way, having an absolute ball.”

This is it, isn’t it? Football is so good, the worst people in the world want to trap it, but also, it’s so good, we’re powerless to resist it. Enjoy!

Oh man, this is why I love this game and the privilege of this job. Piran Johnson gets in touch from … Praia, the capital of Cape Verde! “The build up has been marked by excitement at actually playing in the World Cup for the first time and cautious optimism that maybe a miracle can happen (although some are predicting a Curação style whooping). Today has been declared a half-day holiday and all the school kids were in national shirts instead of uniform with almost every car and building flying the national flag. As a UK dual-national here’s to an England v Cabo Verde final and força Tuberão Azuls!”

It’s hard to decry the expanded tournament when it spreads vibes of this ilk. When I think back to the last Euros, one of my favourite moments is Georges Mikautadze’s equaliser for Georgia against Turkey and the match is one of my favourites too, principally because of the support of fans who don’t get to attend tournaments as a matter of course. And it’s these occasions that takes international football to the places the club game can’t reach – the intensity of the patriotism is something else.

Email! “Don’t forget the story of Pico Lopes,” chides Tikthra, “a lad from Crumlin in inner-city Dublin who was first called up to the Cape Verde team in 2019 and became only the second ever League of Ireland player to qualify for a World Cup. Declan Rice and Pico are the only two former Ireland internationals still left with a chance of winning the World Cup.”

I was getting to him! First of all, I’m glad Crumlin has someone other than Conor McGregor repping for them; secondly, UK telly just showed a lovely interview with him in which he explained he was on LinkedIn for employment purposes and the manager of Cape Verde contacted him. Problem was, the message was in Portuguese so he ignored it, but got another, in English nine months later, and here he is, at the World Cup. His relief remains palpable.

On the UK TV feed, Emma Hayes – my favourite pundit – has just made the point that one of the reasons Spain have been so successful is the system that means their players don’t just play together as adults, but have come through the system together. She was talking in terms of on-pitch cohesion, and Juan Mata, who was part of that successful period, adds that socially, they were a family. He does also note that they had the best players in the world at the time, but if history tells us anything, it’s that you tend to need more than that for success.

It’s amazing to me that we don’t see more of this. Merely thinking about someone I’ve never met experiencing these moments is enough to get the eyeballs sweating, never mind actually being that person.

Also, do not sleep on the glorious squareness of Paul Okon-Engstler’s shoulders, as per the photo.

And here’s our guide to … everything?

As for Cape Verde, Logan Costa is missing, presumably because he’s still feeling his way back after rupturing his ACL in pre-season. I wonder if the rationale goes that, whatever he does, his team are struggling for a result here, whereas against Saudi and Uruguay, they’ve a better chances of nabbing a result.

Spain, then, line up pretty much as expected. I can’t say I don’t wonder if, at some point Luis de la Fuente regrets preferring Unai Simon to David Raya in goal, but it was never a debate – in his mind, at least. Otherwise, Ferran Torres and Gavi are given Lamine and Williams’ spots, with Oyarzabal in between, as expected.

Teams!

Spain (4-3-3): Simón; Llorente, Laporte, Cubarsí, Cucurella; Rodri, Pedri, Fabian Ruiz; Torres, Oyarzabal, Gavi. Subs: Baena, García E, García J, Grimaldo, Iglesias, Merino, Muñoz, Lamine Yamal, Olmo, Pino, Pubill, Raya, Williams, Zubimendi.

Cape Verde (4-2-3-1): Vozinha; Moreira, Borges, Lopes, Cabral S; Pina K, Duarte L; Mendes, Monteiro, Cabral J; Livramento. Subs: Dos Santos, Benschimol, Rosa, Pina W, Costa, Arcanjo, Rodrigues, Paulo, Varela, Semedo W, Semedo Y, Pires, Duarte D, Da Costa, Stopira.

Referee: Adham Mohammad Tumah Makhadmeh (Jordan)

Preamble

There have never been more brilliant footballers in the world than there are now – one reason it’s so hard to pick a winner of this competition. Knockout ties often come down to which individual delivers – or fails to deliver – at the crucial moment and, with so many countries boasting numerous individuals able to turn a game and humans being inherently unreliable, we can’t know which of them will be grooved – or heartbreakingly, hilariously inept – when the time comes.

But it remains the case that Spain, though not obvious champions, are the hardest team to beat. Things have changed since they won three consecutive competitions 2008-12 – you can’t dominate possession to the same absurd extent once you no longer have Busquets, Xavi, Iniesta – club’s football’s greatest midfield – plus Xabi Alonso, plus another midfielder or two in lieu of strikers.

Yet Rodri and Pedri are pretty handy replacements and, though the control they bring isn’t the same, it’s been replaced with the thrust their champion sides lacked. Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams – both expected to be absent today, a precautionary move as they recover from injury – give them a threat in behind and on the outside, while Mikel Oyarzabal, likely to play in between them, is in sensational form at both club and international level.

All of which makes this a tricky – but inspiring – assignment for Cape Verde, making their tournament debut. They qualified top of their group, finishing above a Cameroon side featuring Bryan Mbeumo and Carlos Baleba among others, with only one player – Villarreal defender Logan Costa – playing in one of Europe’s top five leagues. This tells us they’re a settled, organised side and, while they’re better at the back than up front, they’ll be a threat on the counter. As Dailon Livramento, their star attacker said, “We got ourselves into the World Cup, now it’s time to have fun together.”

That attitude makes them a danger even if a comfortable Spain win remains the likeliest outcome here. When, in years to come, we look back on this competition, one of its eternal, affirming memories will be Curaçao’s goal against Germany and Cape Verde are more than capable of delivering us another moment of emotional intensity the like of which only World Cup football can. And really, that’s why we’re here: we can worry about who wins the thing later.

Kick-off: 3pm local, 5pm BST, 12p EDT, 2am AEST.

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